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We have our presidential election data! we’re going to be publishing multiple articles because there is just so much data. P that involves reweighting the data according to demographics without overfitting the model.
With just days left before the 2016 election, polling place resources — such as poll workers, machines, and poll books — have likely already been allocated. Going forward, election officials should ensure these resources are distributed equitably and there are contingency plans should long lines occur.
Aug 21, 2017 typically, presidential polls already reflect the final vote margin three to 4 weeks before the election.
Released 2016 3-8 ela and mathematics state test questions on this page you will find links to access released questions used on the 2016 ela/literacy and mathematics grade 3-8 state tests. There are questions available in every grade (3-8) for both ela and mathematics.
In the 2016 election, michigan — one of three crucial states that trump flipped from the democrats on his way to victory — had 4,810.
An analysis by mebane found that the second digits in vote counts for president mahmoud ahmadinejad, the winner of the election, tended to differ significantly from the expectations of benford's law, and that the ballot boxes with very few invalid ballots had a greater influence on the results, suggesting widespread ballot stuffing.
Trump won 290 electoral college votes to 232 for hillary clinton, as of wednesday evening, with clinton topping him in the popular vote.
A vox analysis of third-party voter turnout in battleground states in 2016 compared with 2012 does highlight an impressive improvement for third-party candidates this year.
Oct 5, 2016 in this lesson students analyze data like current polling numbers, primary results and voter turnout in order to design a strategy for predicting.
Nov 9, 2016 here's the electoral college map we're going to end up with, assuming that every uncalled state goes to the candidate leading in the vote count.
Working class white voters—men and women alike—fled the democratic party and sided with trump because of his promise to renegotiate trade deals with countries including china and levy stiff tariffs on goods imported from these countries.
Older students, especially those who are closer to voting age, can also enjoy engaging in this kind of thinking, as this lesson fits nicely into a data analysis or mathematical reasoning course. Furthermore, the political and historical undertones make this activity an ideal addition to a larger, cross-disciplinary study of elections and voting.
In 2012, there were 2 start dates: 1 for the carve-out states and another the remaining jurisdictions. If a state bound delegates earlier, there was a 50% sanction: arizona, florida, michigan, new hampshire, and south carolina each received a 50% penalty for violating the timing rule.
By the red elephants according to cbs news, president trump does not plan to concede in the event that the media declares joe biden the winner of the election, and elected the 46th president of the united states. The trump campaign and it’s top advisers called for multiple lawsuits on the grounds that the ongoing vote count would result in tallying illegally cast ballots.
On the eve of the 2016 election, nate silver's 538 site gave clinton a 71% chance of winning the presidency. Other sites that used the most advanced aggregating and analytical modeling techniques.
At the us election held on 8 november 2016, donald trump won the electoral college by 306 electoral votes (evs), to 232 evs for hillary clinton.
Exploratory analysis of county-level voting patterns in the 2016 presidential elections in this analysis we download county-level presidential election results (no alaska!) and compile this with data from the us census bureau.
The funky math of the electoral college everyone knows it's a weird way to elect presidents—but it's even crazier than you think by randyn charles bartholomew on august 24, 2016.
You would expect the value will be negative, only saddam got 96% of the vote. If this is right there is no magic here at all, it is the expected outcome. Mcintyre this morning plotted the 2016 election in one of the counties involve and got the same “slope.
75 million people skipped the presidential contest, 2 percent of the total. In other words, in these states, one out of every 50 people declined to vote in the presidential.
This can lead to off-kilter election results — in 2000, for example, democrat al gore won the popular vote by a few hundred thousand votes, but lost the presidency by five electoral votes.
A 2016 stanford study revealed widespread primary election fraud in multiple states favoring hillary clinton. Example collected via e-mail, facebook, and twitter, june 2016.
Carl wins the instant run-off election by getting 63% of the vote in the last round. In the instant run-off election, betty was unfortunate to be eliminated in the first round. We see that she has broad support — she is the first or second choice of every voter.
Election 2016 elections and campaigns telephone survey methods web survey methods research methods share this link: andrew mercer is a senior research methodologist at pew research center.
In this study, we analyze both mainstream and social media coverage of the 2016 united states presidential election. We document that the majority of mainstream media coverage was negative for both candidates, but largely followed donald trump’s agenda: when reporting on hillary clinton, coverage primarily focused on the various scandals related to the clinton foundation.
Follow @thefix on twitter for their latest commentary and analysis of the 2016 elections. Louis jacobson/governing 2016 electoral map final 2016 projection from louis jacobson, who has handicapped the electoral college in 2008, 2012 and 2016, most recently for governing magazine, where he writes a twice-monthly column on state politics.
Issues of the day: health care costs, economic inequality, terrorism, foreign policy (russia, iran, syria, brexit), gun control, treatment of minorities, immigration policy, shifting media landscape.
In this lesson, students analyze data like current polling numbers, primary results and voter turnout to design a strategy for predicting the outcome of the 2016 presidential election.
First, we start with a mathematical model of how people in the us states will vote if the election were held on any particular day – this is what mr silver calls a nowcast.
Washington, dc – in 2016, within days of donald trump’s election as president, riots broke out across the country.
In 2016 senate races, democrats appear to have received six million more votes than republicans.
4 possible reasons the polls got it so wrong in the 2016 presidential election the national polls weren't that far off, but something was clearly up in the state polls.
At the bottom of the page is a link to the data used to generate that model – but, even better, is a link to all the historical data going all the way back to august 2016. Eachcsv file is a 20,000+ entry file that i could open in excel and start playing around with.
A candidate needs at least 270 electoral votes to clinch the white house. Here's where the race stands, with the states ordered by the projected margin between the candidates — clinton’s strongest.
November 29, 2016 despite donald trump and his campaign manager describing his election victory as a “landslide,” trump’s margin of victory actually ranks among the closest in the electoral.
May 15, 2020 donald trump's presidential campaign highlighted protectionism of us-born workers at a time of growing income inequality, racial tensions,.
From november 2016 to november 2017 there was a 5-point drop in the number of people who call themselves republicans, from 42 percent to 37 percent, according to gallup.
The gateway pundit has reported on numerous events in the 2020 election which are being referred to as system ‘glitches’ in the media. Last night we provided another ‘glitch’, this time in wisconsin, which if reversed would eliminate biden’s reported vote lead in the state. Tonight we have obtained an unaudited analysis of data available.
The situation is far worse in georgia, where all eyes are on the two special senate elections on january 5, 2021.
Revolver news presents extensive statistical analysis proving 90,000 votes were dumped into montgomery county, pa two days after election day, while only increasing the vote total by 9,000 votes. These were almost entirely biden votes, with the 81,000 vote remainder being subtracted from trumps in-person vote totals.
While many things about the 2016 election were surprising, the fact that trump narrowly won 1 when polls had him narrowly trailing was an utterly routine and unremarkable occurrence.
2016 election results businessman donald trump (r) defeated former new york senator and secretary of state hillary clinton (d) for the presidency on november 8, 2016. Trump received 304 electoral votes to clinton’s 227 electoral votes.
Trump 2016: 2,771,984 conclusion: trump edges obama by roughly 75,000 votes and wins ohio. (note: clinton’s worst battleground state showing was ohio, winning 380,000 [!] fewer votes than obama.
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